{"id":3448,"date":"2010-10-23T11:37:39","date_gmt":"2010-10-23T15:37:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/?p=3448"},"modified":"2010-10-23T12:03:28","modified_gmt":"2010-10-23T16:03:28","slug":"retraites","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2010\/10\/retraites\/","title":{"rendered":"retraites, immigration et travail"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Plus d&rsquo;un million de Qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois prendront leur retraite d&rsquo;ici 2017. La moiti\u00e9 d&rsquo;entre eux auront quitt\u00e9 leur emploi dans moins de trois ans. En 2009 seulement, le gouvernement pr\u00e9voit environ 100 000 d\u00e9parts. La plupart des travailleurs partiront \u00e0 58 ans dans le secteur public, et \u00e0 61 ans dans le secteur priv\u00e9. [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.lesaffaires.com\/archives\/commerce\/liberte-70\/503070\">lesaffaires.com &#8211; oct. 2009<\/a>]<\/p>\n<p>Avec 49 489 immigrants au total en 2009, (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.micc.gouv.qc.ca\/fr\/recherches-statistiques\/stats-immigration-recente.html\">statistiques r\u00e9centes<\/a>) les jeunes qui arrivent sur le march\u00e9 du travail pourront-ils combler la diff\u00e9rence ? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.jobdiffusion.com\/dossier-enjeux\/view.php?id=74\">Certaines \u00e9tudes<\/a> affirment que non.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/maindoeuvre.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-3449\" title=\"maindoeuvre\" src=\"https:\/\/www.gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/maindoeuvre-300x206.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"206\" srcset=\"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/maindoeuvre-300x206.png 300w, https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/10\/maindoeuvre.png 632w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a><em>L\u2019arriv\u00e9e des jeunes sera insuffisante pour remplacer cette g\u00e9n\u00e9ration. D\u2019apr\u00e8s les projections de Statistique Canada, la population \u00e2g\u00e9e de 15 \u00e0 64 ans amorcera une baisse { au Qu\u00e9bec} d\u00e8s 2013, tandis qu\u2019elle continuera de cro\u00eetre au Canada et en Ontario.<\/em> [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.desjardins.com\/fr\/a_propos\/etudes_economiques\/actualites\/point_vue_economique\/pve80813.pdf\">Point de vue \u00e9conomique, Desjardins<\/a> &#8211; 13 ao\u00fbt 2008 &#8211; pdf]<\/p>\n<p>Avec des taux de ch\u00f4mage \u00e0 la baisse (p. 4 du document cit\u00e9), il y aura un effet de r\u00e9tention sur les travailleurs plus \u00e2g\u00e9s et d&rsquo;attraction pour les plus jeunes&#8230;<!--more--><\/p>\n<p><em>\u00ab\u00a0Quelques mesures att\u00e9nuantes ont toutefois \u00e9t\u00e9 identifi\u00e9es:l\u2019int\u00e9gration d\u2019un maximum de personnes aptes \u00e0 l\u2019emploi et disponibles pour le travail, une flexibilit\u00e9 accrue du march\u00e9 du travail pour les travailleurs atypiques, une mobilit\u00e9 accrue de la main-d\u2019oeuvre entre les provinces, une plus grande reconnaissance des dipl\u00f4mes et des qualifications des immigrants et la mise en place d\u2019incitatifs visant \u00e0 retarder le d\u00e9but de la retraite constituent quelques solutions.\u00a0\u00bb<\/em> [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.desjardins.com\/fr\/a_propos\/etudes_economiques\/actualites\/point_vue_economique\/pv090528.pdf\">L&rsquo;impact du choc d\u00e9mographique sur l&rsquo;\u00e9conomie du Qu\u00e9bec<\/a>. &#8211; Point de vue \u00e9conomique, Desjardins &#8211; 28 mmai 2009 &#8211; pdf]<\/p>\n<p>C&rsquo;est un sujet br\u00fblant : <strong>un million de personnes par jour <\/strong>dans les rues de France, [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/news\/opinions\/opinion\/the-incredible-shrinking-work-force\/article1769511\/\">The incredible shrinking workforce<\/a>, par Doug Saunder]; c&rsquo;est <em>une sorte de gu\u00e9rilla sociale<\/em> [<a href=\"http:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/politique\/article\/2010\/10\/23\/retraites-ce-mouvement-est-une-sorte-de-guerilla-sociale-durable-et-pacifique_1430079_823448.html\">Le Monde.fr<\/a>].<\/p>\n<p>Pour aller plus loin, avec un peu de recul, de vision : le dossier de <a href=\"http:\/\/www.politiquessociales.net\/vieillissement\">Politiques sociales.net<\/a> sur les retraites.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plus d&rsquo;un million de Qu\u00e9b\u00e9cois prendront leur retraite d&rsquo;ici 2017. La moiti\u00e9 d&rsquo;entre eux auront quitt\u00e9 leur emploi dans moins de trois ans. En 2009 seulement, le gouvernement pr\u00e9voit environ 100 000 d\u00e9parts. La plupart des travailleurs partiront \u00e0 58 ans dans le secteur public, et \u00e0 61 ans dans le secteur priv\u00e9. [lesaffaires.com &#8211; &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2010\/10\/retraites\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continuer la lecture<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> de &laquo;&nbsp;retraites, immigration et travail&nbsp;&raquo;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"atmosphere_disabled":false,"atmosphere_custom_text":"","_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1],"tags":[50,180],"class_list":["post-3448","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-economie","tag-politiques-sociales"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":1696,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2009\/01\/coeur-de-lamerique\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":0},"title":"coeur de l&#039;Am\u00e9rique","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"8 janvier 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Quelques articles sugg\u00e9r\u00e9s dans la derni\u00e8re livraison de la Lettre de PolitiquesSociales.net Capitalist Fools, Joseph Stiglitz, Vanity Fair. L\u2019auteur identifie les erreurs commises pendant les administrations Reagan, Clinton et Bush et qui ont men\u00e9 \u00e0 la crise financi\u00e8re. Une entrevue avec Paul Krugman. La carte ci-contre illustre les pertes d'emplois\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"\u00e9conomie\"","block_context":{"text":"\u00e9conomie","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/economie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"auto shutdown","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/01\/autoshutdown-150x150.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":2671,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2009\/09\/vaccination\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":1},"title":"vaccination des travailleurs de la sant\u00e9","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"28 septembre 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Un article du British Medical Journal. When the WHO pandemic alert was phase 3, indicating limited human-to-human transmission, less than one-third (28.4%) of workers were willing to receive a vaccine. At phase 5 alert level, an indicator that a global pandemic is imminent, less than half (47.9%) were still willing\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"pand\u00e9mie\"","block_context":{"text":"pand\u00e9mie","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/pandemie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2885,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2009\/11\/la-vaccination-au-stade\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":2},"title":"la vaccination au Stade","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"12 novembre 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Je n'ai pas pris de photos... mais peut-\u00eatre la semaine prochaine, quand il y aura un peu plus d'activit\u00e9s. C'\u00e9tait bien ces deux jours o\u00f9 des employ\u00e9s de tous les sites du CSSS (7 CHSLD, 3 CLSC et un Centre de crise) se sont unis pour mettre en place ce\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"pand\u00e9mie\"","block_context":{"text":"pand\u00e9mie","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/pandemie\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/farm3.static.flickr.com\/2376\/1547713529_83a52eeb1a_m.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":3222,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2010\/05\/determinants-promotion\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":3},"title":"sant\u00e9, d\u00e9terminants et promotion","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"8 mai 2010","format":false,"excerpt":"La derni\u00e8re livraison de Politiquesociales.net porte \u00e0 notre attention, comme d'habitude, une foule de documents pertinents. Sur le th\u00e8me de la sant\u00e9, plusieurs rapports sur les in\u00e9galit\u00e9s de sant\u00e9 et d\u00e9terminants sociaux : un rapport fran\u00e7ais sur ob\u00e9sit\u00e9 et milieux sociaux; un rapport canadien dont j'ai d\u00e9j\u00e0 parl\u00e9; un rapport\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"politiques\"","block_context":{"text":"politiques","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/polis\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/05\/healtycities.jpg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":4085,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2012\/01\/aines-rpas\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":4},"title":"les ain\u00e9s en RPAS","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"24 janvier 2012","format":false,"excerpt":"C'est mon second projet de retraite, avec celui de faire le tour des quartiers de Montr\u00e9al : d\u00e9noncer l'iniquit\u00e9 du cr\u00e9dit d'imp\u00f4t en soutien au maintien \u00e0 domicile des personnes de 70 ans et plus. Je le redis : les personnes \u00e2g\u00e9es des quartiers populaires re\u00e7oivent de deux \u00e0 trois\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"fiscalit\u00e9\"","block_context":{"text":"fiscalit\u00e9","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/fiscalite\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":2249,"url":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/2009\/05\/trentieme\/","url_meta":{"origin":3448,"position":5},"title":"troisi\u00e8me mill\u00e9naire ou trenti\u00e8me ?","author":"Gilles Beauchamp","date":"9 mai 2009","format":false,"excerpt":"Une pens\u00e9e qui surgit en lisant ce commentaire dans une critique du livre Mothers and others: The Evolutionary Origins of Mutual Understanding. L'auteure de la critique, Claudia Casper, dans le G&M d'aujourd'hui, commence un paragraphe vers la fin de son article par \"As our species embarks on the third millennium\"...\u00a0\u2026","rel":"","context":"Dans \"culture\"","block_context":{"text":"culture","link":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/tag\/culture\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=350%2C200&ssl=1 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=525%2C300&ssl=1 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=700%2C400&ssl=1 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=1050%2C600&ssl=1 3x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-content\/uploads\/2009\/05\/DA0C69FA-9854-4D77-97C1-40F9C84956CD.jpeg?resize=1400%2C800&ssl=1 4x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3448","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3448"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3448\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3448"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3448"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/gillesenvrac.ca\/carnet\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3448"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}